Week 5 Picks
Capwize Simulation Model
Bengals vs Ravens (-11.5, 51)
I expect the Raven’s pass rush to really get to Joe Burrow in this one. Bengals have struggled to protect Burrow and I think it will really catch up to them against a stellar defense. I also have a strong lean to the Ravens to cover -11.5.
The model likes the under in this one and has a median total score of 47 average one million simulations.
Pick- *1 Unit* Ravens/Bengals (under 51)
Rams vs Washington Football Team (+7.5, 48)
Not many people are rushing to bet Washington and I am okay with that. I actually upgrade Washington slightly with Kyle Allen now starting over Haskins. There is no surprise that the public is all over the Rams going up against a back-up QB making his first start with a new team.
The Rams are playing their third game in four weeks on the east coast and I think this catches up to them today. Expect the defensive front to cause some havoc today.
The model likes Washington to cover with a median score of 18-22 after 1 million simulations.
Pick- *1 Unit* Washington +7.5
Week 5 Teasers
Teaser #1 (6 point teaser)
- Texans PK
- 49ers -2