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MLB predictions

MLB Win/Loss Total Predictions

  • by Ben Cary
  • March 27, 2019
  • MLB

Last year, I went 11 for 16 (11-5) on my win-loss predictions, going up 5 units! One thing to look at when placing these bets is the huge recency bias with offseason pick-ups. Almost every team who had a significant preseason pick-up, had their win/loss total go up after the trade (obviously), but even after these lines were adjusted. you saw the public bet heavy on the overs. These include teams such as Phillies (Harper) and Padres (Machado). I typically like to fade these teams and this strategy worked out good for me last year. Here are my 30 predictions of the year-

Arizona Diamondbacks-

Wins last year- 82

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Under 75.5

Atlanta Braves-

Wins last year- 90

2019 Win Total- 86.5

Prediction- Over 86.5

Baltimore Orioles-

Wins last year- 47

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Over 58.5

Boston Red Sox-

Wins last year- 108

2019 Win Total- 95.5

Prediction- Over 94.5

Chicago Cubs-

Wins last year- 95

2019 Win Total- 87.5

Prediction- Over 87.5

Chicago White Sox-

Wins last year- 82

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Under 73.5

Cincinnati Reds-

Wins last year- 79

2019 Win Total- 78.5

Prediction- Over 78.5

Cleveland Indians-

Wins last year- 91

2019 Win Total- 90.5

Prediction- Under 90.5

Colorado Rockies-

Wins last year- 91

2019 Win Total- 84.5

Prediction- OverĀ 84.5

Detroit Tigers-

Wins last year- 64

2019 Win Total- 68.5

Prediction- Over 68.5

Houston Astros-

Wins last year- 103

2019 Win Total- 96.5

Prediction- Under 96.5

Kansas City Royals-

Wins last year- 58

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Under 69.5

Los Angeles Angels-

Wins last year- 80

2019 Win Total- 82.5

Prediction- Over 82.5

Los Angeles Dodgers-

Wins last year- 92

2019 Win Total- 93.5

Prediction- Under 93.5

Miami Marlins-

Wins last year- 63

2019 Win Total- 63.5

Prediction- Over 63.5

Milwaukee Brewers-

Wins last year- 96

2019 Win Total- 86.5

Prediction- Under 86.5

Minnesota Twins-

Wins last year- 78

2019 Win Total- 84.5

Prediction- Over 84.5

New York Yankees-

Wins last year- 100

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Under 96.5

New York Mets-

Wins last year- 77

2019 Win Total- 85.5

Prediction- Under 85.5

Oaklands A’s-

Wins last year- 97

2019 Win Total- 83.5

Prediction- Under 83.5

Philadelphia Phillies-

Wins last year- 80

2019 Win Total- 89.5

Prediction- Under 89.5

Pittsburgh Pirates-

Wins last year- 82

2019 Win Total- 77.5

Prediction- Over 77.5

San Diego Padres-

Wins last year- 66

2019 Win Total- 78.5

Prediction- Under 78.5

San Fransisco Giants-

Wins last year- 73

2019 Win Total- 75.5

Prediction- Over 75.5

St. Louis Cardinals-

Wins last year- 88

2019 Win Total- 88.5

Prediction- Over 88.5

Seattle Mariners-

Wins last year- 89

2019 Win Total- 71.5

Prediction- Under 71.5

Tampa Bay Rays-

Wins last year- 90

2019 Win Total- 84.5

Prediction- Over 84.5

Texas Rangers-

Wins last year- 67

2019 Win Total- 71

Prediction- Over 71

Toronto Blue Jays-

Wins last year- 73

2019 Win Total- 74.5

Prediction- Under 74.5

Washington Nationals-

Wins last year- 82

2019 Win Total- 88.5

Prediction- Over 88.5

 

 

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