Whattttt is going on guys! The Chiefs made us sweat out our teaser last week, but we still cashed:
BAL -0.5 ✅
Kansas City -2.5 ✅
We’re 2-0 so far this year and Vegas lost a TON of money last week as every single favorite won outright on Sunday. That being said, the brain trust in Vegas is starting to pick up on which teams are actually good like the Cardinals, Rams, and the Steelers. The lines are getting tighter and tighter, but I still like a few teams this week so let’s check them out! My favorite teasers are 13 pointers for one reason: safety. 13 points in the NFL is a ton and when you’re getting a team like KC or Baltimore +7 or +10 it’s got a very high probability of hitting. So today were going with a 4 team parlay 13 point teaser that pays -130, so $100 gets us to $79. We do have to find 4 games, but 13 pointers are probably my most successful bets. You can place this teaser or one of your own at DraftKings SportsBook.
Leg #1: Dallas @ Seattle O/U 55.5 ➡️ 42.5 ✅
When it comes to teasers, normally I like to go with spreads, but let’s check out an O/U in the Seattle-Dallas game. Both of these offenses are explosive, as through two games Seattle is averaging 36.5 PPG and Dallas is averaging 28.5 PPG. Not only are these offenses high powered, but their defenses gave up 69 points combined last week. Seattle’s pass defense is terrible and I don’t see them being able to cover Lamb, Cooper, and Gallup. This game should be a shootout and I even like the over of 55.5 straight up. This matchup just has to end 23-20 or 30-14 and we get the victory.
Leg #2: Detroit @ Arizona, Lions +6 ➡️ +19 ✅
Vegas is overreacting quite a bit with this line, as Detroit comes in at 0-2 and Arizona is 2-0. If this was week 1, it would probably be Cardinals -2.5 or -3, but now it’s up to a full touchdown. I actually like the Lions straight up +6 and they can definitely win this game outright. Everyone is loving this Cardinals team with Hopkins and Kyler, as Arizona is the 2nd highest publicly bet side of the week. However, Arizona’s defense looks better just because they played Washington and San Fran. These teams tied in week 1 last year and with Kenny Galladay back, this is a sneaky upset play. Let’s give Detroit a little breathing room and tease them to +19.
Leg #3: Green Bay @ New Orleans Packers +3 ➡️ +16 ✅
Dating back to last season, Green Bay as the underdogs has been a staple of many of my teasers. The Packers are 15-3 over their last 18 regular season games and they look like a Super Bowl contender again this year. When Aaron Rodgers is your quarterback, you’re just never completely out of a game. This GB-NO line doesn’t make a ton of sense to me. I thought it would be like New Orleans -1 or -2, but Vegas is predicting a full field goal victory for the Saints on Sunday night. I like the Packers to win this game and even if they wind up losing by 2 TD, we still get the W. I’m worried that Brees is starting to look washed up and with Michael Thomas sidelined I love Green Bay +16.
Leg #4: Kansas City @ Baltimore Chiefs +3.5 ➡️ +16.5 ✅
Like most handicappers, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have been in probably 75% of my teasers over the last two years. Mahomes is 26-7 as a starter and has never…I repeat has NEVER lost a game by more than 7 points. INSANE. I know KC almost fucked everyone’s parlay, teaser, etc. last week, but c’mon Mahomes is showing up on MNF. The Chiefs bested the Ravens last year and this is the NFL’s marquee game of the season, it’s gonna be close throughout. I’m excited to watch this game AND if our first few picks hit we can hedge on Monday night as well to guarantee us at least a few bucks.
What are your favorite teaser picks for week 3? Join the discussion on our discord channel today.