Matt’s Week 11 NFL Teaser | CapWize Free Picks

Matt’s Week 11 NFL Teaser

We’re not even gonna talk about last week.

CIN +14  ❌

BAL -0.5  ❌

 

*Sigh* 6-4 on the year…7-3 sounds a lot better than 6-4, but hey we’re still in the green. The one thing I will say is that the Bengals are not to be trusted against good teams. They can cover in games against Cleveland or Tennessee, but give them a good defense like Pittsburgh or Baltimore and it’s over. Lesson learned. I like a lot in week 11, so let’s jump right into our 4 team – 13 point tease.

 

 

 

Leg #1: Green Bay @ Indianapolis   Packers +2  ➡️  +15  ✅

 

If you guys have followed my picks, you know how much I love teasing the Packers as underdogs in my teases. They’ve probably been the biggest staple in my teases over the last two years.

First of all, I just don’t believe in the Colts…I’m sorry I don’t. Phillips Rivers is washed, Johnathon Taylor looks like a bust, and they have one of the worst receiving corps in the league. I do like their defense, but giving Aaron Rodgers almost 16 points is just too easy. If the Packers lose it’s probably gonna be by 3 or 7…not over two touchdowns.

 

 

Leg#2: Kansas City @ Las Vegas   O/U  56.5  ➡️  43.5    Over  ✅

There was a story this week that came out that Jon Gruden has the Raiders team bus do a victory lap around Arrowhead Stadium when they defeated KC in week 5. You think Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid remember that? You bet your ass they do. I think this game is going to be an absolute shootout and I like the Over of 56.5 on it’s own.

 

The Raiders are averaging 28.3 PPG, while Kansas City is averaging 31.8 PPG…both are top 10 in the NFL. These teams combined for 72 in week five and all this game has to do is finish at 24-20 and we get the W. This is probably my favorite leg of this week’s teaser.

 

 

Leg #3: Atlanta @ New Orleans   Falcons +5  ➡️ +18  ✅

Atlanta has given bettors this year headaches like no team in recent memory. They had the Gurley accidental touchdown, the Cowboys onside kick, the debacle against Trubisky…it’s not fun taking the ATL ML. However, we aren’t taking the Falcons ML, were actually cool with them losing by 14!

 

Taysom Hill is “starting” on Sunday, but I don’t believe that for a second. Jamies will definitely take the majority of snaps in this game and Hill will likely be used as his regular Swiss Army knife role. This Falcons team has only lost one game by 14 points and that was to the Packers 30-16. It’s a divisional matchup and I could definitely see ATL winning this game.

 

 

 

 

Leg #4: Philadelphia @ Cleveland  Eagles +2.5  ➡️  +15.5  ✅

 

Despite the Eagles 3-5-1 record they’ve actually been pretty good to me this season from a betting standpoint. These Cleveland games have been so impacted by weather recently like last week their game was delayed then it ended 10-7  and the under was never in doubt. Cleveland is pretty solid, but they just aren’t world beaters.

The Browns offense is so bad that it just keeps these teams in games. They haven’t beaten a team by more than 2 TD this year and they’ve had close games like HOU 10-7, CIN 35-30, IND 32-23, and CIN 37-34. I could see an upset here and the Eagles getting almost 16 points I think is actually a safer pick than PIT -2.5…don’t ask me why.

 

Steelers messes up our tease last week so naturally I’m taking them this week and they will probably mess up this week’s tease as well. I debated hard between PIT -2.5 orrrrrr JAC +23.5…but the problem with