Before we jump into Matt Sandell’s teaser, let me give him a quick background. I have been on Matt’s podcast several times on GoingFor2.com and he has been on mine as well. Matt dominates teasers and in 2018 he was profitable on something like 10 out of 12 weeks when I was on his podcast. He is the real deal and if I am going to let someone write for the website, you know it is going to be someone who has fire picks.
Week 1 Teasers
What’s going on guys! My NFL betting strategy is pretty simple: teasers, teasers, and more teasers (click here to learn more about teasers). Teasers are basically the only way that I handicap the NFL because I can take on a line that I like and it can lose, yet I still get the victory. For instance, if you like the Eagles -6.5 against Washington, you can then tease it to Eagles +3.5, and Philly can lose on a last second field goal and you still go home a winner. Not only that, but if 2/3 legs hit early on Sunday, I can hedge the SNF/MNF game, so I can at least guarantee myself a few bucks. Today, we’re looking at a 10 point tease pays out at -115, so $100 gets you to $85.
Leg #1: Houston @ Kansas City, Chiefs -9 ➡️ +1 ✅
I want some action on Thursday’s game, because it’s been 8 months since I’ve placed an NFL bet. I like teasing the O/U down to 43, but the safer pick is to just take the Chiefs spread. It feels like five years ago, but just seven months ago KC went on to outscore the Texans 51-7 after starting off down 24-0. The Chiefs are just so much better than all of the other 31 NFL teams and I like them to repeat as SB champs this year. Houston on the other hand lost one of the best receivers in football and their secondary is one of the worst in the NFL. The Chiefs have continuity, while the Texans have a ton of new faces. Houston is going to struggle to keep up with Hill, Kelce, and Watkins. I like Chiefs -9, but let’s tease it down to +1 for safety.
Leg #2: Green Bay @ Minnesota, Packers +3 ➡️ +13 ✅
I was pretty surprised to see the Vikings favored in this game, especially considering that there will be no fans at U.S. Bank Stadium. I thought it would at least be a PK or MIN -1…it almost seems fishy. The Vikings had a ton of changeover this offseason, as they lost Stefon Diggs, Linval Joseph, Xavier Rhodes, Everson Griffen, and Trae Waynes. They also have a ton of rookies at key spots like Justin Jefferson at WR, Jeff Gladney at CB, and Ezra Cleveland on the OL. There’s just a lot of new faces on this Minnesota roster and they’ve had no preseason/OTAs/practice time to prep for the season. I like GB +3 on it’s own because A-Rod has dominated the Vikings throughout his career and there will be no fans in attendance for this game, so you can throw home field advantage right out the window. Green Bay bested Minnesota in both of their matchups last year and even if the Vikings win by a TD and a field goal, this leg still hits. Green Bay +13 is my favorite leg of the teaser.
Leg #3: Pittsburgh @ New York, Steelers -5.5 ➡️ +4.5 ✅
For our last leg, let’s pick on the Giants for a second. The Giants have a new coach, one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and they released their kicker a month ago! I’m starting to sound like a broken record, but in a season filled with uncertainty, you have to bet on the teams with veterans who have been in a system for a long time. Big Ben and Mike Tomlin have a decade of experience together and their defense is absolutely terrifying. The Giants have some solid talent on offense, but their offensive line is a major concern. I just don’t see them being able to handle T.J. Watt, Stephon Tuitt, and Cameron Hayward for four quarters. I hate the line at -5.5, it’s a weird number, but I like this pick because we can hedge our bet if the first two legs hit. Not only that, but if the Giants win by just a FG, you can double dip and take home twice the profits. I would be shocked if Joe Judge out coaches Tomlin in his first career game. Gimme the Steelers +4.5.