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Eagles vs Packers

Eagles vs Packers odds, line: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions

  • by Ben Cary
  • September 26, 2019
  • NFL, Picks

Eagles vs Packers (-4.5, 46.5)

Eagles vs Packers is our Thursday Night match-up this week and let’s just hope it is a good one as the last three games to start the season have been a terrible display of football. Packers come into this one 3-0 ATS and getting 70% of the bets and Eagles are 0-3 ATS and only getting 30% of the bets.

I have hammered this point down a few times and Thursday night football has such a high volatility to it. This is due to game plans being shortened by 3 days, and players being banged up from the previous game. If anyone on twitter is saying “Lock” or has extremely confidence on one side of the other, I would be shocked to see how someone would have such a strong angle. I guess I could see it with the total. but again, this is just taking a look at quality of play of these Thursday games and the unpredictably of TNF the last 3-5 years.

I lean Eagles +4 here and the under 46.5. These are just leans, but the over 46.5 and the Packers winning just seems like a long shot based off where the money is going. The over 46.5 on the total is getting 70% of the bets.

Again, I think props will be the move here but I am going to even lower my volume on these also.

Lean- Under 4.5

Strong Lean- Eagles +4.5

Lock- This game will probably be unwatchable

 

Props (.75 units on each of these plays)

  • Davante Adams (over 6.5 receptions)(-135)- I think this is Adam’s break out game based on the fact that the Eagles’ secondary is pretty bad and Adams is the highest paid WR, the game is at home, and expecting the Packer’s to try to get the ball in his hands more. You should see a few screens for him (quick passes) and expect 8 receptions for Adams tonight.
  • Darren Sproles (over 14.5 yards)(-120)- This most likely will be a higher scoring game, so expect Sproles to be on the field a lot and get 4-5 targets as a receiver. Just one screen pass and this could be an over and I like this spot for him tonight.
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