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Week 1 Power Rankings

College Football Power Rankings (Week 1)

  • by Ben Cary
  • August 27, 2019
  • NCAAF

Week 1 Power Rankings

Here are my week 1 power rankings (you can see the previous weeks here). Dropped Arizona about 4 points mainly due to their defense looking terrible and Hawaii gaining 4 points. Miami dropped 3 points and I actually dropped Florida just 1 point because I believe I had them a tad high.

Here is how to use the power rankings-

Take the power ranking number of the higher ranking team and subtract that from their opponent. This gives you what the spread should be for the game (based on your rankings), sometimes it will match closely to what the actual line is but sometimes it will be off. Substracting the two teams’ numbers would give you a spread if both teams played on a neutral field, so always give the home team 3 points (on average) on top of this.

Here’s an example-

Miami vs Florida -7 (Week 0)

My power rankings (for week 0) have Miami a 79 and Florida an 84 (neutral site), which is a difference of 5 (power rankings are saying the line should be Florida -5 (the actual line is Florida -7). Florida ended up winning by 4 (24-20).

You want at least 2-3 points differential of your two teams’ power rankings vs the actual closing line when you look to bet a game (minimum 2-3 points). Sometimes 4 points or more of a difference will be available and this is even more value obviously.

For example, I have Oregon and Auburn both at 83.5 and the actual line is -3 Oregon (neutral site). This is giving me a 3 point value on the Ducks based off the power rankings.

You really have to trust your research to get to the point of using your rankings to handicap using power rankings. Early-season/pre-season rankings can be the toughest to develop because you are basing numbers of last season, returning players, new coaches, expectations etc.

One last example is Houston (71) vs Oklahoma (88) -25. There is a difference of -17 when the spread is-25. Remember, you need to add 3 points (on average) for home-field advantage, so that would make the line -21 based off power rankings. That is still a -4 value for Houston, a bet I expect to play week 1.

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1 CLEMSON ACC 95
2 ALABAMA SEC 93.5
3 GEORGIA SEC 91.5
4 OHIO STATE BIG TEN 88
5 OKLAHOMA BIG 12 88
6 MICHIGAN BIG TEN 87.5
7 LSU SEC 87.5
8 MICHIGAN STATE BIG TEN 86.5
9 FLORIDA SEC 84
10 TEXAS A&M SEC 84
11 OREGON PAC-12 83.5
12 AUBURN SEC 83.5
13 WISCONSIN BIG TEN 82
14 UTAH PAC-12 82
15 TEXAS BIG 12 82
16 NOTRE DAME INDP 81.5
17 IOWA BIG TEN 81.5
18 PENN STATE BIG TEN 80
19 WASHINGTON PAC-12 80
20 MISSISSIPPI STATE SEC 79.5
21 WASHINGTON STATE PAC-12 79
22 FLORIDA STATE ACC 79
23 NEBRASKA BIG TEN 79
24 IOWA STATE BIG 12 78
25 VIRGINIA ACC 78
26 MISSOURI SEC 77.5
27 STANFORD PAC-12 77
28 USC PAC-12 77
29 UCF AAC 77
30 MIAMI FL ACC 76.5
31 SOUTH CAROLINA SEC 76.5
32 BOISE STATE MW 76
33 VIRGINIA TECH ACC 76
34 MEMPHIS AAC 76
35 TCU BIG 12 76
36 NORTHWESTERN BIG TEN 75.5
37 BAYLOR BIG 12 75.5
38 MINNESOTA BIG TEN 75
39 PURDUE BIG TEN 75
40 SYRAC– USE ACC 74.5
41 CINCINNATI AAC 74.5
42 OKLAHOMA STATE BIG 12 74.5
43 TENNESSEE SEC 74.5
44 ARIZONA STATE PAC-12 74.5
45 UCLA PAC-12 74
46 BYU INDP 74
47 APPALACHIAN STATE SUN BELT 73.5
48 TEXAS TECH BIG 12 72
49 NC STATE ACC 71.5
50 PITT ACC 71.5
51 ARIZONA PAC-12 71.5
52 BOSTON COLLEGE ACC 71
53 HOUSTON AAC 71
54 OLE MISS SEC 72
55 WAKE FOREST ACC 71
56 FRESNO STATE MOUNTAIN WEST 70.5
57 ARMY INDP 71
58 INDIANA BIG TEN 70.5
59 KENTUCKY SEC 70.5
60 KANSAS STATE BIG 12 70
61 UTAH STATE MOUNTAIN WEST 70
62 COLORADO PAC-12 70
63 CALIFORNIA PAC-12 70
64 SOUTHERN MISS CONFERENCE USA 69
65 SAN DIEGO STATE MOUNTAIN WEST 68.5
66 VANDERBILT SEC 68
67 FIU CONFERENCE USA 68
68 MARYLAND BIG TEN 68
69 DUKE ACC 67
70 NORTH CAROLINA ACC 67
71 TOLEDO MAC 66
72 HAWAII MOUNTAIN WEST 66
73 ARKANSAS SEC 66
74 WEST VIRGINIA BIG 12 66
75 OHIO MAC 65
76 MARSHALL CONFERENCE USA 66.5
77 TEMPLE AAC 66
78 TROY SUN BELT 65
79 FLORIDA ATLANTIC CONFERENCE USA 64.5
80 AIR FORCE MOUNTAIN WEST 64.5
81 WESTERN MICHIGAN MAC 64.5
82 GEORGIA TECH ACC 64.5
83 NORTH TEXAS CONFERENCE USA 64
84 ILLINOIS BIG TEN 64
85 SMU AAC 64
86 USF AAC 64
87 NORTHERN ILLINOIS MAC 64
88 LOUISIANA TECH CONFERENCE USA 63.5
89 TULANE AAC 63.5
90 WYOMING MOUNTAIN WEST 63.5
91 OREGON STATE PAC-12 63
92 GEORGIA SOUTHERN SUN BELT 63
93 LOUISVILLE ACC 62
94 NEVADA MOUNTAIN WEST 62
95 MIDDLE TENNESSEE CONFERENCE USA 61.5
96 ARKANSAS STATE SUN BELT 61
97 LOUISIANA SUN BELT 61
98 NAVY AAC 61
99 TEXAS STATE SUN BELT 61
100 UAB CONFERENCE USA 60.5
101 KANSAS BIG 12 60.5
102 TULSA AAC 60.5
103 MIAMI OH MAC 60
104 EASTERN MICHIGAN MAC 60
105 EAST CAROLINA AAC 59
106 COLORADO STATE MOUNTAIN WEST 58
107 LOUISIANA MONROE SUN BELT 58
108 UNLV MOUNTAIN WEST 57.5
109 RUTGERS BIG TEN 56
110 WESTERN KENTUCKY CONFERENCE USA 56
111 CHARLOTTE CONFERENCE USA 55
112 BUFFALO MAC 55
113 BALL STATE MAC 54.5
114 LIBERTY INDP 53
115 KENT STATE MAC 53
116 CENTRAL MICHIGAN MAC 52.5
117 NEW MEXICO MOUNTAIN WEST 52.5
118 GEORGIA STATE SUN BELT 51
119 SAN JOSE STATE MOUNTAIN WEST 51
120 COASTAL CAROLINA SUN BELT 50.5
121 OLD DOMINION CONFERENCE USA 50.5
122 UTSA CONFERENCE USA 49
123 NEW MEXICO STATE INDP 48
124 SOUTH ALABAMA SUN BELT 47
125 BOWLING GREEN MAC 46.5
126 AKRON MAC 46
127 UCONN AAC 45.5
128 RICE C-USA 45
129 UTEP C-USA 45
130 UMASS INDEPENDENT 45

 

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