A unit is recommended for 12/16 free picks below. Of the games I list as strong leans, play these if you already had a lean to these plays yourself (or you just want action on). All the games listed below as a pick are all tracked via Action Network.
Interesting card today in the NBA and there are a few popular public plays. Bucks -12 is being bet hard as Luka Doncic is out with an ankle sprain he suffered on Saturday night. Bucks at home is usually a popular play and with the Mavs shorthanded, this is the most popular public play of the day.
I am fading this tonight and lean with the Mavs +12. The Mavs have a few guys who are capable of scoring 20 points. Pozingas, Brunson and Hardway Jr. are on this list and the Mavs are one of the deeper teams in the league.
I have the Bucks winning tonight 117-108 and the Mavericks keeping this somewhat close throughout.
Strong Lean- Mavericks +12
The Rattlers of FAMU head into Portland 2,800 miles away. They are winless on the year but have played a tough schedule with opponents such as Seton Hall, Kansas State and Tennessee. The three winnable games they had on their schedule were against Hawaii (loss by 13), South Dakota (loss by 3), and Pacific (loss by 22).
Portland is closer to the caliber of these three opponents listed (the latter) and the Pilots also are the 12th rank three point shooting team in CBB. FAMU is the 300th ranked defensive team and should struggle to guard the perimeter tonight on the road. I like for the Pilots to win this one 70-55 tonight.
Pick- Portland -11.5
Both teams are coming off of tough and close losses. Saints are coming off a tough loss to the 49ers at home and the Colts losing to the Bucs on the road.
No strong leans for me tonight but I like Michael Thomas under 8.5 receptions. I understand that the Colts have had their struggles in the secondary and Thomas is coming off a 11 reception performance last week, but I like the value at even money here. I like the Saints to jump to an early lead, Saints to run the ball in the fourth quarter, and for Thomas to end up with 100+ yards off of seven receptions.
I lean under 47.5 and Saints -9.5 but both plays are just leans. This total went from 44.5 to 47.5 and I expected this to end up closer to 45.5, so there is a little value here.
Pick- Thomas Under 8.5 receptions
Slight Leans- Under 47.5 & Saints -9.5
If you want access to premium plays, you can learn more here.
12/16 Free Picks
12/16 Free Picks