A unit is recommended for 1/13 free picks below. Of the games I list as strong leans, play these if you already had a lean to these plays yourself (or you just want action on). All the games listed below as a pick are all tracked via Action Network. Slight leans are just if I had to pick one side or the other.
The National Championship is tonight between the Tigers taking place in New Orleans. This is going to be an interesting start to the game as both teams have had over 14 days off since the semifinals.
My angle on this is to take the first half under. Both offenses have been rolling, especially LSU with Heisman QB Burrow, but the extended time off will help the defenses more than the offenses initially.
Furthermore, Nerves more times than not will affect the offense more than the defense in football. I grabbed the first half under at 35 two weeks ago, and gave out to premium subscribers, but there is still value at the 34 number. I wouldn’t go under 34 if you are looking to bet this.
As far as the side goes, I like Clemson at +6. Anything under +5, I wouldn’t touch this. This game is hard to handicap and I don’t think you can have a very strong handicap either way with how tight the number is now. It is almost a coin flip in my opinion, which is why I am targeting the first-half total.
I also lean towards the full game under. My prediction is a 34-30 win for Clemson.
Pick- Under 35 (1H)
Strong Lean- Clemson +6 & Under 67.5
Did you know there was college basketball on tonight? Well, the slate is full of value with the MEAC and SWAC in action tonight (way more value than the National Championship tonight and not even close). My favorite game on the slate is between these two teams with Delaware State. DSU is coming off a wild win, in a game they were down 15 at half. North Carolina Central went cold in the second half and could not hit a shot to save their life. The Hornets are 2-14 on the year and this second half on Saturday was an absolute outlier. I would be shocked if the Hornets win two straight or even cover two in a row.
There is a lot of value on NC-AT in this spot and I have this line closer t0 -7.5. The Aggies should be able to win this one by 11 and expect Delaware to struggle to score throughout this game.
Pick- North Carolina A&T -5
Strong Lean- Under 150
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